…continued from page 1
Hockey Stick Graph
In one Climategate e-mail dated November 1999, CRU chief P.D. Jones wrote to Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes:
I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.[41]
Michael Mann’s hockey stick graph hid the real declining temperatures and instead showed a warming trend.[42] Mann’s graph portrayed temperatures as steadily declining since medieval times and then sharply rising in the last century and a half. Notably, his reconstruction fueled claims that 1998 and following years had the highest temperatures in 1,000 years. Once it became publicly known that man-made global warming is a hoax, as a direct result of the e-mail discussing a “trick” for adding data to each temperature series for the last 20 years, Climategate motivated the making of a video called, “[lightbox full=”https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dul_hYde0nk” title=”Hide the Decline.”]Hide the Decline.[/lightbox]”[43]
Critique of the Hockey Stick Reconstruction
- Corrections To The Mann et. al. (1998) Proxy Data Base And Northern Hemispheric Average Temperature Series by Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, Energy & Enviornment volume 14, 2003.
- The Decay of the Hockey Stick by Von Storch published on the journal Nature’s blog, May 3, 2007.
- A Global Warming Bombshell by Richard A. Muller, Technology Review , Oct. 2004; calls into question famous graph by Michael Mann.
- Reconstructing Past Climate from Noisy Data by Hans von Storch, Eduardo Zorita, Julie M. Jones, Yegor Dimitriev, Fidel González-Rouco, Simon F. B. Tett, Science magazine, 22 October 2004.
- The ‘hockey stick’ and the 1990s: a statistical perspective on reconstructing hemispheric temperatures by Bo Li, Douglas W. Nychka and Casper M. Ammann, Institute for Mathmatics Applied to Geosciences; (Manuscript received 22 March 2007; in final form 28 June 2007).
- Ice Core Data Show No Carbon Dioxide Increase by Zbigniew Jaworowski, Ph.D., Spring 1997; this article examines one of the main pillars of the global warming thesis.
- The M&M Critique of the MBH98 Northern Hemisphere Climate Index: Update and Implications (Energy & Environment, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 69–100, January 2005) – Stephen McIntyre, Ross McKitrick
- Hockey sticks, principal components, and spurious significance (Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 32, February 2005) – Stephen McIntyre, Ross McKitrick
Videos on Hockey Stick Graph
- The Hockey Stick vs. Ice Core Data, the “unprecedented” temperatures of the present day when put in perspective of geologic time.
- Historical perspective slide show (.GIF), “unprecedented” global warming in the context of scale (below).
Climategate Fraud
Al Gore’s “schlockumentary,” An Inconvenient Truth, is perhaps the earliest known Climategate fraud and most widely known global warming hoax. The film was designed to promote fear of global warming with false claims, junk science and digitally enhanced lies, proclaiming the end of the world. During Al Gore’s promotional efforts for his film and to raise alarm on the effects of global warming, he boldly predicted we have ten years to doom.[44] At the Sundance Film Festival in Park City, Utah, Larry David commented on Gore’s promotional efforts to raise awareness about his schlockumentary and said, “You know, Al is a funny guy, but he’s also a very serious guy who believes humans may have only 10 years left to save the planet from turning into a total frying pan.”
An Inconvenient Truth inspired fear using junk science; Gore spread alarmist propaganda and claimed burning fossil fuels such as coal, gas and oil have dramatically increased the Earth’s temperatures. Scientific inaccuracies in the film were enhanced with Hollywood special effects, as a deceptive tactic, to spread fear of doom on his one-sided account of the anthropogenic global warming theory. Most notably, Al Gore created a scene in his movie that shows the Antarctic ice shelf breaking up and virtually disintegrating, supposedly providing visual evidence to back up his claim that glaciers are melting. The problem is that it wasn’t real ice melting. It was styrofoam.[45] ABC News reported Al Gore also took footage of digitally enhanced melting ice from the fictional movie, The Day After Tomorrow, and then used it in his schlockumentary. The real truth behind this hoax is ideology, motivated by money and power.[46][47]
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said in its 2007 benchmark report that even a slight change in rainfall could see swathes of the rain forest rapidly replaced by savanna grassland. However, the aftermath of Climategate forced the United Nations climate watchdog to admit to intentionally publishing false claims; the IPCC claims about melting ice in the Alps, the Andes, and in Africa did not come from peer reviewed scientific literature—but from Climbing Magazine, and from a student dissertation—written by a climate change activist who was studying for a degree in Geography.[48] The IPCC claims that global warming might wipe out 40% of the Amazon rainforest was based on an unsubstantiated claim by green campaigners who had little scientific expertise.[49][50]
Greenpeace leader Gerd Leipold admitted that his organization issued misleading statements about man-made global warming, and he said the organization exaggerated information when it claimed that Arctic ice would disappear completely by 2030.[51] Despite the admission that a panel report warning Himalayan glaciers could be gone by 2035 was hundreds of years off, and regardless of the fraud, deceit and lies the Greenpeace organization spread about global warming, Gerd Leipold said he would not resign.[52]
In 2010, as the East Coast of the United States was hammered by strong winter storms of snow and ice, President Obama claimed this as further evidence of global warming. The president of the United States ignored facts to push a political agenda. Obama lied about global warming when he said it will cause some places to “end up being a little bit cooler,” due to man-made climate change.
We just got five feet of snow in Washington and so everybody is like, a lot of people who are opponents of climate change, they say, ‘See, look at that, there’s all that snow on the ground, you know, this doesn’t mean anything.’ I want to just be clear that the science of climate change doesn’t mean that every place is getting warmer. It means the planet as a whole is getting warmer. As the planet as a whole gets warmer you start seeing changing weather patterns. And that creates more violent storm systems, more unpredictable weather, so any single place might end up being warmer. Another place might end up being a little bit cooler, there might end up being more precipitation in the air, more monsoons, more hurricanes, more tornadoes.[53]
Professor Phil Jones admitted data shows ‘no global warming since 1995’
Global Warming Facts
For a more detailed treatment, see Global warming.
Scientists have cast doubt on the IPCC’s claim that global temperatures are rising because of human pollution.[54]
- Data for vital ‘hockey stick graph’ has gone missing
- There has been no global warming since 1995
- Warming periods have happened before – but not due to man-made changes
Professor Phil Jones admitted during an interview with the BBC his record keeping is “not as good as it should be,” and that he “did not do a thorough job” of keeping track of his own records. Colleagues say that the reason Phil Jones refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers. The data is crucial to the famous hockey stick graph used by climate change advocates to support the theory.[55][56] Professor Jones also said that there is little difference between global warming rates in the 1990s and in two previous periods since 1860, leaving open the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – that the Medieval Warm Period from 800 to 1300 AD was warmer than the present period, and it could have encompassed the entire globe. Phil Jones also accepted a fact that from 1995 to 2010, for the past 15 years, there has been no statistically significant warming. He conceded the possibility suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.
Climategate Emails
For a more detailed treatment, see ClimateGate emails.
The Climategate emails discussed methods of subverting the scientific peer review process to ensure dissenting papers had no access to publication. An email from Phil Jones to Michael Mann said, “… And don’t leave stuff lying around on ftp sites — you never know who is trawling them. The two MMs have been after the CRU station data for years. If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act now in the UK, I think I’ll delete the file rather than send it to anyone.“[1] The Climategate emails show that climate scientists may have committed a felony using government funded money, deliberately falsified data then used the results of the falsification to obtain additional research funding. The collection of data and data processing programs, code from the CRU shows proof that valid temperature station readings were taken and skewed to fabricate the results the “scientists” wanted to believe, not what actually occurred.[57] Another email, in which Michael Mann wrote of his “Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series […] to hide the decline,” correlated with evidence of intent to skew climate data.
IPCC and the CRU’s ‘Trick’
Further analysis of the word “trick” and how it was used in the Climategate emails from the CRU provided interesting feedback. It showed that CRU did indeed truncate tree ring data, so that the real decline in global temperature is not shown in the IPCC report, as referenced by Steve McIntyre.[58] McIntyre brought this to attention as an expert reviewer in the IPCC process in 2005, but at the time of inquiry his dissent was stifled and the discussion was never presented to external peer reviewers.
The explanation for the use of the word “trick” came quickly from CRU director Dr. Phil Jones in his official announcement on November 23. He claimed, “The word ‘trick’ was used here colloquially as in a clever thing to do. It is ludicrous to suggest that it refers to anything untoward.” If Dr. Jones used such colloquialisms regularly, it stood to reason that further analysis should find a number of similar instances of the word “trick” in the CRU Climategate emails over the decade that the emails spanned. A file search program with a simple mission to scan the email folders for all file content with instances of the word “trick” used by itself (excluding other words like “Patrick” that would have “trick” embedded in it) returned eight files with that condition:[59]
- 0843161829.txt
- 0942777075.txt
- 1065206624.txt
- 1065636937.txt
- 1103236623.txt
- 1179416790.txt
- 1188508827.txt
- 1200162026.txt
After a second file search was executed to double check how many of the Climategate emails contained some permutation of the letters “t r i c k,” it revealed 29 emails out of the 1079 emails in the FOIA2009.zip file. Only one instance was found where Dr. Jones used the word “trick” in reference to a procedure on data. There are other uses and variations of the word “trick” in other emails, but only one instance attributed to Jones where he refers to this data issue. As Dr. Jones put it: The word ‘trick’ was used in the lone instance colloquially as in a clever thing to do (e.g. “that’ll do the trick”). But it was questioned that one would expect to see it in general use by Dr. Jones in other emails if it was indeed a colloquialism. In the thousand plus Climategate emails, there’s no other use of the word “trick” by Dr. Jones related to data truncation or otherwise, though there are other colloquial uses of the word by other authors.[59]
Themes
On the climate science environmental agenda and the scandal that Climategate revealed all together, Glenn Beck commented on the emails:
[The scientists] were asking each other to delete messages to avoid Freedom of Information Act requests. That doesn’t sound legal. Scientists are working together to try and change the definition of peer review journals so that anybody who said global warming wasn’t real couldn’t get their papers published. … [And then with] these thousands of E-mails … Shouldn’t this be – oh, I don’t know – everywhere now? All of them are, to varying degrees, important. But how much could any of those actually cost you? This scandal will literally cost you trillions of dollars. That’s what’s at stake worldwide. It’s on how we deal with the climate.[60]
According to Rush Limbaugh, another theme of the e-mails that have been released is how people at the Climatic Research Unit were constantly trying to “shake down” the oil companies (i.e. Exxon, Shell) for money and for partnerships.[61] On this reoccurring theme, Limbaugh mentioned the following:
They talk about it openly, how they’re constantly trying to shake down the oil companies. The only thing man-made about global warming is the theory behind it. What you are going to do with people who are even willing to lie about the weather?[62]
Wikipedia
Lawrence Solomon from the National Post discovered from the Climategate emails how a small band of climatologists plotted to rewrite history as well as science, particularly by eliminating the Medieval Warm Period.[63] The Climategate emails revealed the enlistment of Wikipedia in their attempt at rewriting history. It was revealed how Wikipedia’s “green doctor,” a U.K. scientist and Green Party activist, rewrote 5,428 climate articles. The recruited Wikipedia administrator, William Connolley, literally rewrote history and then abused his administrative privileges to stifle criticism of the global warming orthodoxy.[64] Lawrence Solomon wrote on this revelation and on Wikipedia’s loss of integrity as a source of factual information, and on the clear abuse of power from administrative authorities within Wikipedia:
Starting in February 2003, Connolley set to work on the Wikipedia site. He rewrote Wikipedia’s articles on global warming, on the greenhouse effect, on the instrumental temperature record, on the urban heat island, on climate models, on global cooling. On Feb. 14, he began to erase the Little Ice Age; on Aug.11, the Medieval Warm Period. In October, he turned his attention to the hockey stick graph. He rewrote articles on the politics of global warming and on the scientists who were skeptical of the band. Richard Lindzen and Fred Singer, two of the world’s most distinguished climate scientists, were among his early targets, followed by others that the band especially hated, such as Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, authorities on the Medieval Warm Period. All told, Connolley created or rewrote 5,428 unique Wikipedia articles. His control over Wikipedia was greater still, however, through the role he obtained at Wikipedia as a website administrator, which allowed him to act with virtual impunity. When Connolley didn’t like the subject of a certain article, he removed it — more than 500 articles of various descriptions disappeared at his hand. When he disapproved of the arguments that others were making, he often had them barred — over 2,000 Wikipedia contributors who ran afoul of him found themselves blocked from making further contributions.[65]
Continued on next page…