In 2019, the deep state think tank RAND published the report Overextending and Unbalancing Russia. It listed a number of strategies for getting “Russia to extend itself in strategic competition.” It is noticeable that a number of the suggestions in report has been followed by policy makers. Discussing “Providing lethal aid to Ukraine” it “would exploit Russia’s greatest point of external vulnerability. But any increase in U.S. military arms and advice to Ukraine would need to be carefully calibrated to increase the costs to Russia of sustaining its existing commitment without provoking a much wider conflict in which Russia, by reason of proximity, would have significant advantages.”
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